San Juan Capistrano

Property For sale & Area Information.

Welcome to San Juan Capistrano

San Juan Capistrano’s real estate market is thriving, fueled by its rich history, equestrian lifestyle, and mix of luxury estates and family-friendly neighborhoods. With a growing interest in semi-rural, spacious living, demand remains high—particularly for larger lots, gated communities, and homes with unique architectural character. While elevated mortgage rates have added some pressure, the city’s charm and prime location keep buyers engaged.

Median Home Prices

Single-Family Homes: Median price is $1.39 million, showing a 6.2% year-over-year (YoY) increase.
Condominiums & Townhomes: Median price is $770,000, up 4.9% YoY.
Luxury Market ($2M+): Strong demand for homes in gated communities like The Hunt Club, Marbella Country Club, and San Juan Hills Estates. Days on Market (DOM) averages 60–75 days.

Inventory & Market Speed

Low Inventory: Approximately 1.6 months of supply—underscoring a seller-favored market.
DOM Trends:
- Single-Family Homes: 16–28 days, particularly fast in neighborhoods close to downtown and the mission
- Condos/Townhomes: 25–35 days
- Luxury Homes: 60–90+ days, with longer timelines for older estates or those needing updates
Price Reductions: Seen in roughly 13% of listings, primarily in the higher-end market or properties lacking modern finishes.

Key Market Dynamics

Strong Seller’s Market: Roughly 42% of homes are selling above asking price, especially in areas near historic downtown, equestrian trails, and top private schools.
New Development:
- Select new luxury developments and estate-style custom builds on large lots.
- Newer townhome and mixed-use projects near the Ortega Highway corridor continue to attract younger buyers.
Location Premium: Properties with canyon views, equestrian zoning, or walkability to the Los Rios Historic District carry 15–30% price premiums.

Interest Rates & Affordability

Mortgage Rates: Hovering near 6.75% (30-year fixed).
Affordability: A $1.39M home requires roughly $9,400/month (PITI), leading some buyers to consider condos or homes east of I-5.

Top Market Drivers

Equestrian & Estate Living: One of the few Orange County cities with horse zoning and large custom lots.
Historic & Cultural Appeal: The Mission, downtown Los Rios District, and Spanish-inspired architecture enhance lifestyle value.
Commute Convenience: Quick access to I-5 and Ortega Hwy makes it ideal for commuters heading to Irvine, Dana Point, or San Diego County.
School Access: Strong public and private school options, including St. Margaret’s and JSerra Catholic High School.

Future Outlook (2024–2025)

Price Growth: Projected to increase 4–5% annually as land remains limited and demand stays consistent.
Inventory Outlook: Modest gains through new builds, but large-lot or estate-style homes will remain scarce.
Luxury Segment: Stable, though days on market may extend for homes above $3M unless fully modernized or view-enhanced.

Conclusion

San Juan Capistrano continues to attract buyers with its blend of heritage, open space, and luxurious living. Whether you’re drawn by the equestrian lifestyle, historic charm, or peaceful scenery, this market remains one of South Orange County’s most distinctive and desirable.

Buyers: Act fast—turnkey homes in central or gated neighborhoods go quickly.
Sellers: With limited inventory and high buyer demand, it’s an excellent time to sell.